![]() Winning over the majority of voters in the US doesnt always mean a candidate will win the election though. The candidate with the most votes across the nation is said to have won the popular vote. States in the Deep South like Alabama will vote Trump, while the more liberal California will almost certainly return a vote for Biden. The popular vote is simply the total votes cast for each candidate across the whole of the United States. According to a recent data from the CBS News Battleground Tracker 37 states are essentially guaranteed to vote for a particular candidate. How will the use of the Electoral College affect the election this time around?Īfter Clinton’s defeat in 2016 Team Biden appear to have been far more focused on picking up the votes required to win the Electoral College, and it can be seen in their campaigning strategy. But the data does suggest that, as was the case in 2016, more Americans will vote Democrat than will vote Republican. Most of the people who voted in the 2016 presidential election voted for Hillary Clinton. ![]() However this is just a projection and only accounts for around 96% of the electorate so there are still some voters who could easily break Republican on Election Day. In comparison, Donald Trump was given an average support of 46%. In a recent poll tracker produced by Real Clear Politics, Democratic candidate Joe Biden was polling at 50% nationwide. Trump defied the pollsters to beat Clinton but the margin he overcame on Election Day was less than it is this time around. OFFICIAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS General Election Date: SOURCE: State Elections Offices - of 12 - STATE ELECTORAL VOTES. Who is expected to win the popular vote in the 2020 presidential election?Īs was proved four years ago, attempting to predict the results of an election is a fool’s errand, but we can take some clues from how the 2016 race panned out. However a series of narrow wins for Trump in valuable states like Florida gave him enough Electoral College votesto secure a place in White House. presidential re-election campaigns 1832-2020. The Democratic nominee therefore received roughly 2.9 million more votes, giving her a margin of 2.1% over her opponent. When the final vote count was returned Trump had received a total of 62,980,160 votes (46.1%), while Clinton had amassed 65,845,063 (48.2%). The quirks of the Electoral College system were exposed in 2016 when Donald Trump secured the presidency with an Electoral College majority, even as Hillary Clinton took a narrow lead in the popular vote - TIME November 1, 2020
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